Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.869900 0.979563 1.099099 1.239293 1.399491 1.577158 1.789573
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.686352 0.830810 1.001272 1.218175 1.488125 1.814699 2.242222
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.606735 0.770122 0.973291 1.246318 1.606377 2.068774 2.713662
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.532568 0.702094 0.921952 1.230767 1.657786 2.233915 3.081067
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.485073 0.660829 0.897258 1.242487 1.740275 2.442090 3.524382
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.437754 0.613508 0.857544 1.226145 1.777551 2.585819 3.886403
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.400624 0.576060 0.826763 1.217325 1.821684 2.740079 4.277659
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.357491 0.525529 0.771705 1.165660 1.793564 2.778455 4.486324
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.338275 0.508574 0.764459 1.185376 1.876984 2.997971 5.014352
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.322167 0.494709 0.760237 1.208573 1.966939 3.235440 5.599361
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.304825 0.477289 0.748623 1.218004 2.033769 3.439166 6.147188
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.287538 0.458457 0.732955 1.218717 2.084752 3.619012 6.670879
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.273415 0.444105 0.724089 1.231295 2.159748 3.853095 7.335492
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.253862 0.419239 0.695687 1.207140 2.165954 3.961415 7.767840
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.245119 0.412018 0.696707 1.235434 2.271662 4.268315 8.643886
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.230132 0.392778 0.675113 1.219977 2.291783 4.409396 9.187755
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.220577 0.382401 0.668395 1.231591 2.365446 4.664706 10.013837
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.207820 0.365333 0.648199 1.215406 2.381378 4.801947 10.591560
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.197124 0.351293 0.632546 1.206671 2.411461 4.971693 11.267337
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.181775 0.327607 0.597129 1.155504 2.347509 4.930396 11.430984
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.176400 0.322372 0.596528 1.175030 2.436667 5.237865 12.496739
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.171746 0.318185 0.597605 1.198003 2.535420 5.577771 13.695349
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.165818 0.311119 0.592477 1.207344 2.604394 5.855647 14.773391